3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,428 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Manufactured
· Active
· 148 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,921/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$229
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$403
Net cashflow
$297/mo
Annual
$3,566/yr
Cap rate
8.18%
Cash-on-cash
6.74%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$52,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $189k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $189k).
It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($166k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $166k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#131 in FL, #1,957 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities D+, commute D+.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Sugar Mill Elementary School (math 59% / reading 58%, grade B-, #735 of 2,144 statewide, top 35%, 623 students, 64% FRL); Silver Sands Middle School (math 50% / reading 52%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,165 students, 54% FRL); Atlantic High School (math 24% / reading 46%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 1,266 students, 52% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 247 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $155k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NE4DKCE8NX6A5H
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29