3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
936 sqft ·
Built 1905
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,012/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$141
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$212
Net cashflow
$265/mo
Annual
$3,185/yr
Cap rate
10.55%
Cash-on-cash
15.19%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.35%
Cash to close
$20,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#616 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Central A & M CUD 21 (rural): math 13% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #477 of 620 in IL (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Gregory Intermediate (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #940 of 2,056 statewide, top 49%, 192 students, 0% FRL); Central A & M Middle School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #550 of 665 statewide, top 84%, 168 students, 0% FRL); Central A & M High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #430 of 693 statewide, top 66%, 225 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 32% district-wide (32 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shelby County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $49k; list at $75k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NE4HQECVK4H62G
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29