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424 Main St
A- Composite 81.01
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$74,900

424 Main St · Moweaqua, IL 62550
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1905 0.26 ac lot $80/sqft · 13% below area Est $105k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cute 1ÃÂÃÂÃÂý story in Moweaqua, 2 blocks S of high school. Furnace & C/Air approx. 7 years! Roof approx. 7 hears. Nice attached 2 car garage has openers. Nice big back yard goes from telephone box to fence approx. No HVAC vent to second floor. Could be 2 bedrooms upstairs.

Key facts

  • Plumbing
  • Recent updates
  • Trim

Tags

RECENT UPDATESELECTRICALFLOORINGPLUMBINGTRIMLIGHT FIXTURES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned residential; Lot size approximately 0.26 acres

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels (2 stories)
  • Construction: Built with other/unspecified materials
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Appliances: none listed beyond water heater
  • Bedrooms: 9 total rooms (bedrooms and living spaces combined)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#616 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Central A & M CUD 21 (rural): math 13% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #477 of 620 in IL (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 41 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (6.7% local appreciation)).
  • Shelby County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $49k; list at $75k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,653 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.35%
Cap rate
10.55%
Cash-on-cash
15.19%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$105,486
List price
$74,900
Delta
-29.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
329 Main St 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,070 (+14%) 23mo $95,000 $89 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.4%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$41,814
Equity at exit
$50,552
10-year hold
IRR
27.0%
Equity multiple
6.20×
Total profit
$109,093
Equity at exit
$94,827

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62550

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,012 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$110 /mo · $1,320/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$265

Break-even live

Break-even rent $676
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $308 -5% $287 +0% $265 +5% $244 +10% $223
Rent -10% $185 -5% $225 +0% $265 +5% $305 +10% $345
Rate -1.0pp $303 -0.5pp $284 base $265 +0.5pp $246 +1.0pp $226

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $74,900 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $74,900 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    remarks 463-char remark
  5. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $74,900 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $77,900 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $77,900 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $77,900 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $77,900 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $77,900 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $77,900 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $77,900 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $77,900 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-06-05
    days on market $77,900 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $77,900 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $77,900 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 16 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $80,000 Active 15 DOM
  19. 2026-05-15
    listed $80,000 Active 419-char remark
  20. 2014-03-13
    soldstatus $49,000
  21. 2014-03-07
    soldstatus $49,000 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Cute 1A A A A 1/2 story in Moweaqua, 2 blocks S of high school. Furnace & C/Air approx. 7 years! Roof approx. 7 hears. Nice attached 2 car garage has openers. Nice big back yard goes from telephone box to fence approx. No HVAC vent to second floor. Could be 2 bedrooms upstairs.

  22. 2014-03-07
    soldstatus $49,000
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Cute 1A A A A 1/2 story in Moweaqua, 2 blocks S of high school. Furnace & C/Air approx. 7 years! Roof approx. 7 hears. Nice attached 2 car garage has openers. Nice big back yard goes from telephone box to fence approx. No HVAC vent to second floor. Could be 2 bedrooms upstairs.

  23. 2013-09-23
    listed $54,500 283-char remark
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Cute 1A A A A 1/2 story in Moweaqua, 2 blocks S of high school. Furnace & C/Air approx. 7 years! Roof approx. 7 hears. Nice attached 2 car garage has openers. Nice big back yard goes from telephone box to fence approx. No HVAC vent to second floor. Could be 2 bedrooms upstairs.

  24. 2013-09-23
    listed $54,500
    Show marketing remark (283 chars)

    Cute 1A A A A 1/2 story in Moweaqua, 2 blocks S of high school. Furnace & C/Air approx. 7 years! Roof approx. 7 hears. Nice attached 2 car garage has openers. Nice big back yard goes from telephone box to fence approx. No HVAC vent to second floor. Could be 2 bedrooms upstairs.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,320 · $110/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,510 · $126/mo
Expected delta
+$190/yr (+$16/mo · 14.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,142
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$1,320
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$971
− Management
−$971
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$2,131
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$511
After-tax cash flow
$2,673/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Central A & M CUD 21
NCES district ID
1709100
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,388
Composite
15.02/100
National rank
#9357
State rank
#477 of 620 in IL

Livability — Moweaqua

Score
65/100
State rank
#616
US rank
#12660

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moweaqua, IL
Population (ZIP)
3,070

Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,512 people
By 2030
19,675 · -4.1%
By 2040
17,851 · -13.0%
By 2050
15,973 · -22.1%
By 2075
11,799 · -42.5%
By 2100
8,030 · -60.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shelby

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.2) · D 19.2% · R 79.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-40.5pp toward R · 2008: -19.8pp · 2024: -60.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.2 2020: R+57.2 2016: R+54.3 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+19.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.72%
Current HPI
197.0448
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.4% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Price Changed $74,900 CIBR
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $77,900 CIBR
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $80,000 CIBR
  • 2014-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 2014-03-07 Sold (MLS) $49,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-03-07 Sold (MLS) $49,000 CIBR
  • 2013-09-23 Listed $54,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-09-23 Listed $54,500 CIBR

Property tax history

-2.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,320 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…