1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
864 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,073/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$111
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$225
Net cashflow
$56/mo
Annual
$668/yr
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.84%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($668/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (17.4% below list).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#323 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, employment D.
Chatham County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #68 of 178 in NC (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Chatham Central High (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C-, #270 of 535 statewide, top 52%, 364 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 458 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chatham County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29