42 Lula Klass Rd · Goldston, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
NO VALUE IN HOUSE! Value in the land/ location!! 3.73 Acres close to interstate/ school/ shopping. Flat lot with some old growth. Estate property. Due to having a manufactured structure that has no value, it is listed under SFR not land.
Key facts
- Close to school
- Estate property
- Flat lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: County: Chatham
- HOA & community: No association; Not a senior community
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer: other
- Home design: Manufactured house; One level
- Construction: Construction materials: other; Living area approximately 900; Above-grade finished area approximately 900; Below-grade finished area none
- Exterior features: Foundation: see remarks; Roof: see remarks; Lot approximately 3.73 acres; Zoning: R-1; Public maintained road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 1 bedroom; 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: See remarks
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating: see remarks; No cooling / None
- Interior features: Flooring: see remarks
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($668/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (17.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $107k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#323 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, employment D.
- Chatham County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #68 of 178 in NC (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Chatham Central High (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C-, #270 of 535 statewide, top 52%, 364 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 458 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
- Chatham County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.84%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $45,607
- Equity at exit
- $86,557
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.58×
- Total profit
- $130,226
- Equity at exit
- $161,379
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27252
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,073 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $682/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $56
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18status $129,900 Pending 91 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $129,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-05status Active
-
2026-04-21status Pending
-
2026-03-05$129,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $682 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,065 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- +$383/yr (+$32/mo · 56.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,879
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$682
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,030
- − Management
- −$1,030
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$1,568
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$376
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,045/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chatham County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700750
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,371
- Composite
- 41.82/100
- National rank
- #3390
- State rank
- #68 of 178 in NC
Livability — Goldston
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #323
- US rank
- #13259
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,066
Population outlook (Chatham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 84,640 people
- By 2030
- 90,521 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 99,791 · +17.9%
- By 2050
- 106,565 · +25.9%
- By 2075
- 119,165 · +40.8%
- By 2100
- 122,958 · +45.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Chatham
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.5) · D 55.7% · R 43.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 12.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.5 2020: D+11.5 2016: D+10.1 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.59%
- Current HPI
- 315.4738
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — TMLS
- 2026-04-21 Pending — TMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $129,900 TMLS
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $682 · -6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…