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C- Composite 51.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$129,900

42 Lula Klass Rd · Goldston, NC 27252
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · Manufactured public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1970 3.73 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NO VALUE IN HOUSE! Value in the land/ location!! 3.73 Acres close to interstate/ school/ shopping. Flat lot with some old growth. Estate property. Due to having a manufactured structure that has no value, it is listed under SFR not land.

Key facts

  • Close to school
  • Estate property
  • Flat lot

Tags

3.73 ACRESCLOSE TO INTERSTATECLOSE TO SCHOOLCLOSE TO SHOPPINGFLAT LOTESTATE PROPERTY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: County: Chatham
  • HOA & community: No association; Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer: other
  • Home design: Manufactured house; One level
  • Construction: Construction materials: other; Living area approximately 900; Above-grade finished area approximately 900; Below-grade finished area none
  • Exterior features: Foundation: see remarks; Roof: see remarks; Lot approximately 3.73 acres; Zoning: R-1; Public maintained road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 1 bedroom; 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: See remarks
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heating: see remarks; No cooling / None
  • Interior features: Flooring: see remarks

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($668/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (17.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#323 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, employment D.
  • Chatham County Schools (rural): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #68 of 178 in NC (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Chatham Central High (math 57% / reading 52%, grade C-, #270 of 535 statewide, top 52%, 364 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 48% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 458 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.6% local appreciation)).
  • Chatham County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (6.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $107,326 (17.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.84%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.59% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.2%
Equity multiple
2.25×
Total profit
$45,607
Equity at exit
$86,557
10-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
4.58×
Total profit
$130,226
Equity at exit
$161,379

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27252

Home prices YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,073 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $682/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$56

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,003
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $129,900 Pending 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 86 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 80 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $129,900 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-05-05
    status Active
  16. 2026-04-21
    status Pending
  17. 2026-03-05
    listed $129,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$682 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,065 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$383/yr (+$32/mo · 56.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,879
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$682
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,030
− Management
−$1,030
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable loss
−$1,568
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$376
After-tax cash flow
$1,045/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chatham County Schools
NCES district ID
3700750
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$57,371
Composite
41.82/100
National rank
#3390
State rank
#68 of 178 in NC

Livability — Goldston

Score
65/100
State rank
#323
US rank
#13259

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,066

Population outlook (Chatham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
84,640 people
By 2030
90,521 · +6.9%
By 2040
99,791 · +17.9%
By 2050
106,565 · +25.9%
By 2075
119,165 · +40.8%
By 2100
122,958 · +45.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Chatham

2024 margin
D (+12.5) · D 55.7% · R 43.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 12.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.5 2020: D+11.5 2016: D+10.1 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+9.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.59%
Current HPI
315.4738
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted TMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Pending TMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $129,900 TMLS

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $682 · -6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…