2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Active
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,436/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$309
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$695
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$302
Net cashflow
$32/mo
Annual
$384/yr
Cap rate
6.94%
Cash-on-cash
2.32%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
2.43%
Cash to close
$16,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($384/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $58k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#238 in MT) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Lockwood K-12 (suburban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #86 of 116 in MT (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Lockwood Primary (374 students, 0% FRL); Lockwood Middle School (math 19% / reading 35%, grade F, #115 of 146 statewide, top 79%, 433 students, 0% FRL); Lockwood High School (546 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 35% district-wide (35 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 48% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 279 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,401 units permitted in Yellowstone County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yellowstone County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 1.7% in Lockwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: kitchen countertops
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: bathroom cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: bathroom countertops
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: exterior siding
— moderate wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-NEPK6D6QFQNCX9
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29