4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,732 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,625/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$551
Net cashflow
$1,210/mo
Annual
$14,520/yr
Cap rate
17.91%
Cash-on-cash
41.48%
DSCR
2.85
1% rule
2.10%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#236 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
Richland School District (urban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #61 of 291 in WA (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 243 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,532 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
Benton County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 3.2% in West Richland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NFP1BSC4JA2005
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29