2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,193 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,321/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$524
Tax + insurance
−$256
HOA
−$319
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$277
Net cashflow
$-55/mo
Annual
$-664/yr
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.37%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$28,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-55 ($-664/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $90k (9.8% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $90k (9.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#165 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jackson Creek Elementary (math 26% / reading 24%, grade F, #447 of 597 statewide, top 76%, 545 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 38% district-wide (62 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 25% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Richland 02 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 341 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29