3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,556 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,300/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$80
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$273
Net cashflow
$292/mo
Annual
$3,506/yr
Cap rate
9.10%
Cash-on-cash
10.03%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$34,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#92 in KY, #3,738 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Glasgow Independent (town): math 32% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #69 of 165 in KY (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Highland Elementary School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #287 of 676 statewide, top 43%, 740 students, 63% FRL); Glasgow Middle School (math 29% / reading 43%, grade F, #91 of 217 statewide, top 43%, 539 students, 61% FRL); Glasgow High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #21 of 254 statewide, top 10%, 589 students, 53% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 293 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 283 units permitted in Barren County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Barren County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $39k; list at $125k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.3% in Glasgow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NH9H2FC897NTP6
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29