1706 E Carter Dr

Brownfield, TX 79316

$150,000D

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,231 sqft · Built 1977 · SingleFamily · Active · 9 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,800/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax + insurance: −$656
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$378
• Net cashflow: $-20/mo
• Annual: $-246/yr
• Cap rate: 6.13%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.58%
• DSCR: 0.97
• 1% rule: 1.20%
• Cash to close: $42,000

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-246/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (2.4% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $146k (2.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#298 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D, commute F.
• Brownfield ISD (town): math 26% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #704 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Oak Grove El (math 25% / reading 24%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 677 students, 87% FRL); Brownfield Middle (math 24% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,222 of 1,662 statewide, top 74%, 354 students, 83% FRL); Brownfield H S (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #963 of 1,632 statewide, top 61%, 443 students, 78% FRL).
• Watch-outs: property tax is 4.7% of price.
• Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2 units permitted in Terry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Terry County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.