1706 E Carter Dr · Brownfield, TX 79316

$150,000

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,231 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market

Built 1977 10,411 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.6/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.0/10.0
• DSCR +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Investors, this is the one you've been waiting for. Situated in one of Brownfield's most desirable locations, this spacious 4 bedroom, 3 bathrooms with a 2 car garage and sunroom is packed with potential. The layout, square footage, and overall bones create the perfect foundation for a stunning transformation. Whether you're looking for your next flip, a long-term rental, or a remodel with major upside, the possibilities here are endless. Large spaces, a functional floor plan, and a location that's hard to beat make this one worth a serious look. Opportunities like this don't come around often, unlock the potential and bring this home back to life!

Key facts

• Sunroom
• 0.24 acre lot
• 2 garage spots

Tags

• SUNROOM
• FUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLAN

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage
• Utilities: Paved public road access; City street frontage
• Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Property described as fixer
• Construction: Brick construction; Tile and other roofing; Slab foundation; Built with approximately 2,311 above-grade finished square feet
• Exterior features: Private yard; Shed(s) / exterior storage; Rear porch with glass enclosure; Fenced backyard; Many trees; City lot; Front yard

Interior

• Kitchen: Oven; Range
• Flooring: Varies
• Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Fireplace heating option; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Double vanity; Fireplace in the living room; Varied flooring throughout
• Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-246/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (2.4% below list).
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Recommended offer: $146k (2.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#298 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D, commute F.
• Brownfield ISD (town): math 26% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #704 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Oak Grove El (math 25% / reading 24%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 677 students, 87% FRL); Brownfield Middle (math 24% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,222 of 1,662 statewide, top 74%, 354 students, 83% FRL); Brownfield H S (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #963 of 1,632 statewide, top 61%, 443 students, 78% FRL).
• Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2 units permitted in Terry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Terry County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 4.7% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $146,385 (2.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.20% ✓
• Cap rate: 6.13%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.58%
• DSCR: 0.97
• GRM: 6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -17.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.40×
• Total profit: $-25,333
• Equity at exit: $22,365

10-year hold

• IRR: -8.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.46×
• Total profit: $-22,614
• Equity at exit: $12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79316

• Active inventory: 91
• Price-to-rent: 6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,800 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax from tax record: −$593 /mo · $7,120/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$378
• Net cashflow: $-20

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,826

Max offer price $146,385

Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $489	-5% $22	+0% $-20	+5% $-63	+10% $-105
Rent	-10% $-163	-5% $-92	+0% $-20	+5% $51	+10% $122
Rate	-1.0pp $55	-0.5pp $18	base $-20	+0.5pp $-59	+1.0pp $-99

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,500
• Closing costs: $4,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1707 Gillham Dr Brownfield, TX	3.0	2.0	2064	$1,800	$0.87	45d	1	0.18mi

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
2. 2026-06-21
   days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
4. 2026-06-18
   status $150,000 Active 4 DOM
5. 2026-05-20
   listed $150,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $7,120 · $593/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $7,120 · $593/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,600
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,402
• − Property taxes: −$7,120
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,728
• − Management: −$1,728
• − Depreciation: −$4,364
• Taxable loss: −$2,492
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$598
• After-tax cash flow: $353/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Brownfield ISD
• NCES district ID: 4811610
• Math proficiency: 26% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 27% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $37,385
• Composite: 22.1/100
• National rank: #8180
• State rank: #704 of 826 in TX

Livability — Brownfield

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #298
• US rank: #6822

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Brownfield, TX
• Population (ZIP): 9,907

Population outlook (Terry County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 13,220 people
• By 2030: 13,500 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 14,327 · +8.4%
• By 2050: 15,340 · +16.0%
• By 2075: 18,459 · +39.6%
• By 2100: 20,433 · +54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Hispanic (57%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 57% White 37% Two or more races 32% Black 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 47%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 1% German 1%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada
• Languages at home: 63% English-only · Spanish 34% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Terry

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+65.2) · D 17.2% · R 82.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -30.1pp toward R · 2008: -35.0pp · 2024: -65.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+65.2 2020: R+56.9 2016: R+49.4 2012: R+41.6 2008: R+35.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -65.34%
• Current HPI: 104.1813
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Listed $150,000 LARMLS

Property tax history

+7.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,120 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.