1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1905
· Condo
· Active
· 128 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,339/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$500
HOA
−$569
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$701
Net cashflow
$-4/mo
Annual
$-52/yr
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.06%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-52/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $299k (0.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $264k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 74 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
10 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 13% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,339/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 6603% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29