4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,015 sqft ·
Built 1935
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 258 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,543/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,148
Tax + insurance
−$195
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$324
Net cashflow
$-124/mo
Annual
$-1,487/yr
Cap rate
5.61%
Cash-on-cash
-2.42%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$61,320
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $219k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-124 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $197k (10.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (29.5% below list).
It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $154k (29.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: J. Wallace James Elementary School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #147 of 646 statewide, top 23%, 939 students, 64% FRL); L.J. Alleman Middle School (math 48% / reading 56%, grade C+, #23 of 218 statewide, top 10%, 952 students, 54% FRL); Lafayette High School (math 57% / reading 51%, grade C-, #28 of 265 statewide, top 11%, 1,852 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 247 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $127k; list at $219k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $1,543/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2089% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-NMNA8E9YND17MZ
· Data 18 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29