2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
812 sqft ·
Built 1907
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$859/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$49
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$180
Net cashflow
$289/mo
Annual
$3,463/yr
Cap rate
11.62%
Cash-on-cash
19.03%
DSCR
1.85
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($859 rent vs $65k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#21 in CO, #2,616 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Lamar School District No. Re-2 (town): math 19% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #65 of 86 in CO (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Washington Elementary School (263 students, 82% FRL); Lamar Middle School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #207 of 270 statewide, top 79%, 325 students, 74% FRL); Lamar High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #220 of 381 statewide, top 59%, 445 students, 59% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Prowers County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Prowers County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.2% in Lamar — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NMQ10JDWCH1FXP
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29