306 S 8th St · Lamar, CO
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with a flexible den and 812 sq ft of living space. The layout offers a practical flow with a comfortable living area and kitchen at the heart of the home. Two bedrooms plus a den provide added versatility for work or guests. Detached 2-car garage in the back offers great storage and parking convenience. Located in Lamar close to local amenities. Property sold AS-IS
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Additional room
- Hardwood floors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Property is unattached; Individually owned
- Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Built structure recorded in public records
- Exterior features: Public water
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: One-level living
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $289 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($859 rent vs $65k).
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 4.2% in Lamar — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#21 in CO, #2,616 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Lamar School District No. Re-2 (town): math 19% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #65 of 86 in CO (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Washington Elementary School (263 students, 82% FRL); Lamar Middle School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #207 of 270 statewide, top 79%, 325 students, 74% FRL); Lamar High School (math 22% / reading 42%, grade F, #220 of 381 statewide, top 59%, 445 students, 59% FRL).
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Prowers County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prowers County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.03%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $129,920
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 S 12th St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (+12%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $181 | 59 |
| 108 N 9th St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 781 (-4%) | 24mo | $54,000 | $69 | 59 |
| 909 S 10th St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-11%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $160 | 52 |
| 308 N 8th St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 918 (+13%) | 11mo | $122,500 | $133 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $7,822
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $30,381
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81052
- Home prices YoY
- -22.6%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $859 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax from tax record
- −$22 /mo · $267/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$180
- Net cashflow
- $289
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $325 | -5% $307 | +0% $289 | +5% $270 | +10% $252 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $221 | -5% $255 | +0% $289 | +5% $322 | +10% $356 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $321 | -0.5pp $305 | base $289 | +0.5pp $272 | +1.0pp $255 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-05-15price $65,000 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with a flexible den and 812 sq ft of living space. The layout offers a practical flow with a comfortable living area and kitchen at the heart of the home. Two bedrooms plus a den provide added versatility for work or guests. Detached 2-car garage in the back offers great storage and parking convenience. Located in Lamar close to local amenities. Property sold AS-IS
-
2026-05-15price $65,000 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with a flexible den and 812 sq ft of living space. The layout offers a practical flow with a comfortable living area and kitchen at the heart of the home. Two bedrooms plus a den provide added versatility for work or guests. Detached 2-car garage in the back offers great storage and parking convenience. Located in Lamar close to local amenities. Property sold AS-IS
-
2026-05-07price $71,000 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with a flexible den and 812 sq ft of living space. The layout offers a practical flow with a comfortable living area and kitchen at the heart of the home. Two bedrooms plus a den provide added versatility for work or guests. Detached 2-car garage in the back offers great storage and parking convenience. Located in Lamar close to local amenities. Property sold AS-IS
-
2026-05-07price $71,000 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with a flexible den and 812 sq ft of living space. The layout offers a practical flow with a comfortable living area and kitchen at the heart of the home. Two bedrooms plus a den provide added versatility for work or guests. Detached 2-car garage in the back offers great storage and parking convenience. Located in Lamar close to local amenities. Property sold AS-IS
-
2026-04-21$77,000 Active 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with a flexible den and 812 sq ft of living space. The layout offers a practical flow with a comfortable living area and kitchen at the heart of the home. Two bedrooms plus a den provide added versatility for work or guests. Detached 2-car garage in the back offers great storage and parking convenience. Located in Lamar close to local amenities. Property sold AS-IS
-
2026-04-21$77,000 Active 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home with a flexible den and 812 sq ft of living space. The layout offers a practical flow with a comfortable living area and kitchen at the heart of the home. Two bedrooms plus a den provide added versatility for work or guests. Detached 2-car garage in the back offers great storage and parking convenience. Located in Lamar close to local amenities. Property sold AS-IS
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $267 · $22/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $358 · $30/mo
- Expected delta
- +$91/yr (+$8/mo · 34.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,310
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$267
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$825
- − Management
- −$825
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $2,537
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$609
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,854/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lamar School District No. Re-2
- NCES district ID
- 0805220
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,602
- Composite
- 21.96/100
- National rank
- #8216
- State rank
- #65 of 86 in CO
Livability — Lamar
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #21
- US rank
- #2616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lamar, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,010
Population outlook (Prowers County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,654 people
- By 2030
- 9,902 · -7.1%
- By 2040
- 8,419 · -21.0%
- By 2050
- 7,122 · -33.2%
- By 2075
- 4,648 · -56.4%
- By 2100
- 2,900 · -72.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 15% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 33%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 16%
Political lean MEDSL · Prowers
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.7) · D 23.9% · R 74.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.9pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -50.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.7 2020: R+45.9 2016: R+46.9 2012: R+35.4 2008: R+33.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.59%
- Current HPI
- 279.7054
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-15.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $65,000 IRES
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $65,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $71,000 IRES
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $71,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Listed $77,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Listed $77,000 IRES
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $267 · +267.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…