2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,312 sqft ·
Built 1944
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,125/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$53
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$678/mo
Annual
$8,139/yr
Cap rate
33.42%
Cash-on-cash
96.89%
DSCR
5.31
1% rule
3.75%
Cash to close
$8,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $678 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $29k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 50/100 on livability (#483 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
White Hall School District (rural): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #86 of 238 in AR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gandy Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #254 of 454 statewide, top 59%, 348 students, 60% FRL); White Hall Junior High School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #92 of 201 statewide, top 50%, 703 students, 54% FRL); White Hall High School (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #157 of 292 statewide, top 54%, 969 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 36% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 62 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 33.4% vs local median 8.4% in Pine Bluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NMQRV2C9HGES6G
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29