3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,916 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,716/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,120
Tax + insurance
−$489
HOA
−$570
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$780
Net cashflow
$-1,244/mo
Annual
$-14,926/yr
Cap rate
3.78%
Cash-on-cash
-8.96%
DSCR
0.60
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$166,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $595k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $375k (36.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $372k (37.5% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $372k (37.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#12 in GA, #1,990 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Vickery Mill Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #689 of 1,228 statewide, top 58%, 438 students, 74% FRL); Crabapple Middle School (math 54% / reading 73%, grade B+, #31 of 470 statewide, top 6%, 871 students, 13% FRL); Roswell High School (math 54%, 2,119 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 2.6% in Roswell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NN4X7Z332A2G1V
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29