2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 1991
· Manufactured
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$983/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$47
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$441/mo
Annual
$5,293/yr
Cap rate
15.92%
Cash-on-cash
34.37%
DSCR
2.53
1% rule
1.79%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($983 rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#444 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Sweetwater (rural): math 35% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #211 of 513 in OK (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Sweetwater Es (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #354 of 845 statewide, top 47%, 85 students, 0% FRL); Sweetwater Hs (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #150 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 37 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 62% district-wide (62 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Beckham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Beckham County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NPPMNM50HC65H2
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29