2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,368 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Condo
· Active
· 203 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,333/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$994
Tax + insurance
−$316
HOA
−$460
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$280
Net cashflow
$-716/mo
Annual
$-8,596/yr
Cap rate
1.76%
Cash-on-cash
-16.20%
DSCR
0.28
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$53,060
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $190k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-716 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $86k (54.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (29.6% below list).
It's been on market 203 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (54.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#32 in MO, #2,940 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
Branson R-IV (rural): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #44 of 324 in MO (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Cedar Ridge Elementary (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #284 of 1,115 statewide, top 30%, 503 students, 65% FRL); Branson Jr. High (math 48% / reading 49%, grade C-, #81 of 391 statewide, top 21%, 724 students, 51% FRL); Branson High (math 42% / reading 56%, grade D, #145 of 521 statewide, top 28%, 1,423 students, 46% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 1267 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 93d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 331 units permitted in Taney County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Taney County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 1.8% vs local median 2.8% in Branson — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 203 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 55% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen countertops and cabinets
— The countertops and cabinets are visibly worn and need replacement.
Major: Bathroom fixtures and tiles
— The fixtures and tiles are dated and need updating.
Major: Flooring
— The carpeted flooring is worn and needs replacement.
Major: Paint
— The walls show signs of wear and discoloration, indicating a need for fresh paint.
Major: Landscaping
— The landscaping is overgrown and in need of trimming and maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NQSJJK4PE7AD7P
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29