3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,360 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Townhouse
· Active
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,742/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$316
HOA
−$716
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$366
Net cashflow
$-442/mo
Annual
$-5,307/yr
Cap rate
3.28%
Cash-on-cash
-10.74%
DSCR
0.52
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-442 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $86k (42.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $86k (42.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in LA, #261 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: J.C. Ellis School (math 40% / reading 48%, grade F, #191 of 646 statewide, top 30%, 613 students, 49% FRL); J.D. Meisler Middle School (math 13% / reading 28%, grade F, #161 of 218 statewide, top 76%, 753 students, 50% FRL); Riverdale High School (math 36% / reading 52%, grade F, #62 of 265 statewide, top 23%, 1,019 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 70% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 41% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.8%/yr); 214 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
38 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask is 63% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $150k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NR2V3810RZBVGJ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29