3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 2001
· Manufactured
· Active
· 126 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,350/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$283
Net cashflow
$410/mo
Annual
$4,918/yr
Cap rate
11.47%
Cash-on-cash
18.49%
DSCR
1.82
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#8 in ID, #904 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F.
Blackfoot District (town): math 34% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #69 of 92 in ID (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ridge Crest Elementary School (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #176 of 357 statewide, top 53%, 374 students, 51% FRL); Mountain View Middle School (math 33% / reading 46%, grade F, #72 of 109 statewide, top 67%, 588 students, 47% FRL); Blackfoot High School (math 26% / reading 47%, grade F, #105 of 169 statewide, top 63%, 1,286 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 282 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 251 units permitted in Bingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bingham County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: ceiling fans
— need cleaning or replacement
Minor: light fixtures
— need cleaning or replacement
CashFlowRE · CFR-NR8KGW3E6E2H23
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29