3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,105 sqft ·
Built 1993
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,111/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,405
Tax + insurance
−$454
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$443
Net cashflow
$-191/mo
Annual
$-2,295/yr
Cap rate
5.44%
Cash-on-cash
-3.06%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$75,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $268k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-191 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (12.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $211k (21.2% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $211k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#195 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
Auburn Washburn (rural): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #29 of 169 in KS (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Indian Hills Elementary (math 44% / reading 52%, grade D, #196 of 684 statewide, top 29%, 474 students, 21% FRL); Washburn Rural Middle School (math 28% / reading 31%, grade F, #72 of 219 statewide, top 38%, 943 students, 36% FRL); Washburn Rural High (math 25% / reading 30%, grade F, #83 of 327 statewide, top 25%, 1,884 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 219 units permitted in Shawnee County in 2024 (25 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shawnee County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $18k; list at $268k implies a 1349% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.3% in Topeka — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NRB4AC6XKR720Y
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29