3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
999 sqft ·
Built 1999
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 108 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,110/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$351
Tax + insurance
−$112
HOA
−$495
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$-81/mo
Annual
$-969/yr
Cap rate
4.85%
Cash-on-cash
-5.16%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
1.66%
Cash to close
$18,760
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $67k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-81 ($-969/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $55k (17.4% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in ID, #758 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D.
Pocatello District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #26 of 92 in ID (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Indian Hills Elementary School (math 44% / reading 60%, grade C-, #130 of 357 statewide, top 38%, 539 students, 42% FRL); Irving Middle School (math 33% / reading 54%, grade D, #60 of 109 statewide, top 56%, 712 students, 39% FRL); Century High School (math 41% / reading 71%, grade C, #24 of 169 statewide, top 14%, 1,092 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 45% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 325 units permitted in Bannock County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29