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845 Barton Rd #79 Rd
D Composite 41.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$67,000

845 Barton Rd #79 Rd · Pocatello, ID 83204
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 999 sqft · SingleFamily · 108 Days on market
Built 1999 $495/mo HOA · 45% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

EASY TO SHOW. ALL APPLIANCES INCLUDED PLUS WASHER AND DRYER ALSO INCLUDES $3000.00 BULLY BARN. CLEA N, CLEAN, CLEAN. SPACE RENT AT THE TIME OF LISTING IS $180.00 PER MONTH.

Key facts

  • Built 1999
  • Listed 108 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $495 monthly fee

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home (manufactured without land); Residential property
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; 999 above-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Located in the Cowboy Trailer Park subdivision

Interior

  • Kitchen: Includes dishwasher, range, oven, refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms, both on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $67k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-81 ($-969/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $55k (17.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#7 in ID, #758 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D.
  • Pocatello District (urban): math 45% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #26 of 92 in ID (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Indian Hills Elementary School (math 44% / reading 60%, grade C-, #130 of 357 statewide, top 38%, 539 students, 42% FRL); Irving Middle School (math 33% / reading 54%, grade D, #60 of 109 statewide, top 56%, 712 students, 39% FRL); Century High School (math 41% / reading 71%, grade C, #24 of 169 statewide, top 14%, 1,092 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 325 units permitted in Bannock County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 45% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $55,319 (17.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
4.85%
Cash-on-cash
-5.16%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.01% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.9%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-14,538
Equity at exit
$9,990
10-year hold
IRR
-10.4%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-13,201
Equity at exit
$5,793

Cash invested: $18,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Idaho
91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 83204

Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,110 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$351
Tax est. 1.5%
$84 /mo · $1,005/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$495
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$-81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,213
Max offer price $55,319
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-34 -5% $-58 +0% $-81 +5% $-104 +10% $-127
Rent -10% $-168 -5% $-125 +0% $-81 +5% $-37 +10% $7
Rate -1.0pp $-47 -0.5pp $-64 base $-81 +0.5pp $-98 +1.0pp $-116

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,750
Closing costs
$2,010
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$495 · $5,940/yr

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $67,000 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $67,000 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $67,000 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $67,000 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $67,000 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $67,000 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $67,000 Active 100 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $67,000 Active 99 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $67,000 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $67,000 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $67,000 Active 95 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $67,000 Active 94 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $67,000 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $67,000 Active 89 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $67,000 Active 88 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,000 Active 87 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $67,000 Active 86 DOM
  18. 2026-03-13
    price $67,000
  19. 2026-03-06
    listed $100,000 Active
  20. 2026-03-02
    historical $1,250
  21. 2025-10-24
    listed $1,250
  22. 2024-08-23
    historical $1,250
  23. 2024-08-06
    listed $1,250
  24. 2024-07-25
    historical $1,250
  25. 2024-07-24
    listed $1,250
  26. 2022-12-02
    historical
  27. 1999-05-20
    soldstatus 172-char remark
    Show marketing remark (172 chars)

    EASY TO SHOW. ALL APPLIANCES INCLUDED PLUS WASHER AND DRYER ALSO INCLUDES $3000.00 BULLY BARN. CLEA N, CLEAN, CLEAN. SPACE RENT AT THE TIME OF LISTING IS $180.00 PER MONTH.

  28. 1999-03-02
    listed $15,500 172-char remark
    Show marketing remark (172 chars)

    EASY TO SHOW. ALL APPLIANCES INCLUDED PLUS WASHER AND DRYER ALSO INCLUDES $3000.00 BULLY BARN. CLEA N, CLEAN, CLEAN. SPACE RENT AT THE TIME OF LISTING IS $180.00 PER MONTH.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,326
− Mortgage interest
−$3,753
− Property taxes
−$1,005
− Insurance
−$335
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,066
− Management
−$1,066
− HOA
−$5,940
− Depreciation
−$1,949
Taxable loss
−$1,788
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$429
After-tax cash flow
$-540/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocatello District
NCES district ID
1602640
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,478
Composite
43.46/100
National rank
#3003
State rank
#26 of 92 in ID

Livability — Pocatello

Score
84/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#758

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pocatello, ID
County
Bannock County · 82,995 people
City population
58,482
Metro
Pocatello, ID
Population (ZIP)
18,580
Household income
$57,146
Rent vs Own
33.3% rent · 66.7% own
Severe rent burden
435.0

Population outlook (Bannock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
86,173 people
By 2030
86,575 · +0.5%
By 2040
86,235 · +0.1%
By 2050
86,090 · -0.1%
By 2075
85,032 · -1.3%
By 2100
85,103 · -1.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 3% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bannock

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.1) · D 35.8% · R 60.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-12.1pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -25.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.1 2020: R+21.9 2016: R+20.5 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.01%
Current HPI
232.7208
Rent YoY
▲ 4.01%
Metro
Pocatello, ID
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+332.3% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $67,000 PCTMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Listed $100,000 PCTMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Rental Removed $1,250 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-10-24 Listed for Rent $1,250 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-08-23 Rental Removed $1,250 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-08-06 Listed for Rent $1,250 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-07-25 Rental Removed $1,250 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-07-24 Listed for Rent $1,250 APPFOLIO
  • 2022-12-02 Rental Removed RENT.
  • 1999-05-20 Sold (MLS) SRMLS
  • 1999-03-02 Listed $15,500 SRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…