3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,044 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 242 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,164/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$902
Tax + insurance
−$172
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$244
Net cashflow
$-154/mo
Annual
$-1,851/yr
Cap rate
5.22%
Cash-on-cash
-3.84%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$48,160
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $172k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-154 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (15.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (32.3% below list).
It's been on market 242 days — a 12% lower offer ($151k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (32.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#639 in IN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Southeast Fountain School Corporation (rural): math 34% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #163 of 301 in IN (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Southeast Fountain Elementary (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #530 of 994 statewide, top 54%, 473 students, 56% FRL); Fountain Central High School (math 27% / reading 50%, grade F, #241 of 369 statewide, top 65%, 506 students, 51% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Fountain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fountain County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $69k; list at $172k implies a 149% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 242 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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