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302 S 1st St
F Composite 33.43
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.4/30.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$172,000

302 S 1st St · Kingman, IN 47952
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,044 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 242 Days on market
Built 1900 1.49 ac lot Est $143k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is beatiful, it features wonderful hardwood floors, 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 baths, dining, living, family room, office, kitchen with disposal. Fireplace with gas log. Gas forced Air furnace & central Air. Sump pump in basement 40 gal hotwater heater

Key facts

  • 24x12 storage barn
  • Play set
  • Fenced-in backyard

Tags

FENCED-IN BACKYARD24X12 STORAGE BARNPLAY SETHARDWOOD FLOORSBASEMENT STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $172k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-154 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (15.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (32.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (32.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 54/100 on livability (#639 in IN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Southeast Fountain School Corporation (rural): math 34% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #163 of 301 in IN (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Southeast Fountain Elementary (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #530 of 994 statewide, top 54%, 473 students, 56% FRL); Fountain Central High School (math 27% / reading 50%, grade F, #241 of 369 statewide, top 65%, 506 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Fountain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Fountain County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 242 days — a 12% lower offer ($151k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $69k; list at $172k implies a 149% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $116,359 (32.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 242 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
5.22%
Cash-on-cash
-3.84%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$143,080
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
300 S 2nd St 0.06mi 2/1.0 (-1) 2,054 (+0%) 4mo $86,000 $42 86
101 S 2nd St 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,992 (-2%) 19mo $95,000 $48 73
101 W State St 0.22mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,087 (+2%) 17mo $174,900 $84 65
501 S Odd St 0.14mi 3/2.5 1,867 (-9%) 14mo $130,000 $70 64
410 S 1st St 0.09mi 2/3.0 (-1) 2,262 (+11%) 7mo $235,000 $104 61
216 N 2nd St 0.37mi 3/1.0 2,114 (+3%) 20mo $75,000 $35 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
2.74×
Total profit
$83,798
Equity at exit
$154,951
10-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
6.28×
Total profit
$254,392
Equity at exit
$334,158

Cash invested: $48,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47952

Home prices YoY
34.4%
Active inventory
19
Price-to-rent
12.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,164 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$902
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
Insurance
$72
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$-154

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,359
Max offer price $144,751
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,000
Closing costs
$5,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-15
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-09
    status Pending
  4. 2026-01-28
    price $172,000
  5. 2025-10-31
    price $175,000
  6. 2025-08-18
    listed $179,000 Active
  7. 2005-04-13
    soldstatus $69,000 257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    This home is beatiful, it features wonderful hardwood floors, 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 baths, dining, living, family room, office, kitchen with disposal. Fireplace with gas log. Gas forced Air furnace & central Air. Sump pump in basement 40 gal hotwater heater

  8. 2003-09-09
    listed $79,900 257-char remark
    Show marketing remark (257 chars)

    This home is beatiful, it features wonderful hardwood floors, 3 bedrooms, 1 1/2 baths, dining, living, family room, office, kitchen with disposal. Fireplace with gas log. Gas forced Air furnace & central Air. Sump pump in basement 40 gal hotwater heater

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,198 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,330 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$132/yr (+$11/mo · 11.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,963
− Mortgage interest
−$9,635
− Property taxes
−$1,198
− Insurance
−$860
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,117
− Management
−$1,117
− Depreciation
−$5,004
Taxable loss
−$4,967
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,192
After-tax cash flow
$-659/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southeast Fountain School Corporation
NCES district ID
1810620
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$44,911
Composite
32.73/100
National rank
#5640
State rank
#163 of 301 in IN

Livability — Kingman

Score
54/100
State rank
#639
US rank
#24064

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment F Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kingman, IN
Population (ZIP)
2,676

Population outlook (Fountain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,481 people
By 2030
14,841 · -4.1%
By 2040
13,505 · -12.8%
By 2050
12,149 · -21.5%
By 2075
9,214 · -40.5%
By 2100
6,463 · -58.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fountain

2024 margin
Solid R (+60.0) · D 19.1% · R 79.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-45.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.4pp · 2024: -60.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+60.0 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+34.2 2008: R+14.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 58.17%
Current HPI
227.38
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+115.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-15 Relisted MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $172,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-31 Price Changed $175,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $179,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-04-13 Sold (MLS) $69,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-09-09 Listed $79,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+11.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,198 · -11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…