2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
966 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 54 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,834/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$131
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$385
Net cashflow
$741/mo
Annual
$8,896/yr
Cap rate
14.38%
Cash-on-cash
28.88%
DSCR
2.29
1% rule
1.67%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $741 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#397 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Mcintosh County (town): math 23% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #118 of 174 in GA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Todd Grant Elementary School (math 24% / reading 23%, grade F, #790 of 1,228 statewide, top 65%, 667 students, 79% FRL); Mcintosh County Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #265 of 470 statewide, top 57%, 271 students, 79% FRL); Mcintosh Academy (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #109 of 424 statewide, top 26%, 395 students, 79% FRL).
Market conditions: 159 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 127 units permitted in McIntosh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
McIntosh County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $110k implies a 450% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 3.9% in Darien — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Exterior siding
— The exterior siding shows signs of wear and tear.
Moderate: Flooring
— The flooring in the living area appears worn and may need replacement.
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· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29