902 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd · Darien, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming opportunity in historic Darien! Ideally located in an established community, this property offers endless possibilities for renovation, restoration, or investment. With its convenient location and potential to be transformed into a beautiful residence, this home is ideal for buyers seeking a project in one of Georgia's coastal communities. Bring your imagination and make it your own!
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1962
- Listed 53 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $741 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 3.9% in Darien — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#397 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Mcintosh County (town): math 23% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #118 of 174 in GA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Todd Grant Elementary School (math 24% / reading 23%, grade F, #790 of 1,228 statewide, top 65%, 667 students, 79% FRL); Mcintosh County Middle School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #265 of 470 statewide, top 57%, 271 students, 79% FRL); Mcintosh Academy (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #109 of 424 statewide, top 26%, 395 students, 79% FRL).
- Market conditions: 159 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 127 units permitted in McIntosh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- McIntosh County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $110k implies a 450% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.88%
- DSCR
- 2.29
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $215,407
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -35.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 612 Kellsie Cir | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,026 (+6%) | 8mo | $209,900 | $205 | 56 |
| 206 E 6th St | 0.50mi | 2/2.0 | 1,026 (+6%) | 18mo | $292,500 | $285 | 48 |
| 614 Kellsie Cir | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 860 (-11%) | 14mo | $175,000 | $203 | 45 |
| 503 Greene St | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 1,110 (+15%) | 17mo | $262,500 | $236 | 36 |
| 902 Old River Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,108 (+15%) | 4mo | $244,000 | $220 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.48×
- Total profit
- $107,121
- Equity at exit
- $99,097
- IRR
- 40.1%
- Equity multiple
- 10.04×
- Total profit
- $278,314
- Equity at exit
- $213,706
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 6 active · 3 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.0 mo (11%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $199,600 ($200/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 51 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +11.5% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 31305
- Home prices YoY
- 20.2%
- Active inventory
- 159
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,834 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,021/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $741
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $804 | -5% $772 | +0% $741 | +5% $710 | +10% $679 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $596 | -5% $669 | +0% $741 | +5% $814 | +10% $886 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $797 | -0.5pp $769 | base $741 | +0.5pp $713 | +1.0pp $684 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Trumbull St Darien, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 93d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 91 Screven St Darien, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $2,000 | $1.96 | 93d | 1 | 0.65mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property listed as a fixerLot approximately 0.15 acres
- HOA & community
- No HOA
Exterior
- Parking
- No designated parking
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerSewer availableWater available
- Home design
- Single-family houseBuilt in 1962Residential property in City R-Mh East subdivision
- Construction
- Wood siding constructionComposition roof1962 construction
- Exterior features
- Composition roofWood siding
Interior
- Kitchen
- Refrigerator included
- Bedrooms
- Three bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring
- CarpetVinyl
- Bathrooms
- One full bathroom and one half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Other interior featuresOne level
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry closetFamily room
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $110,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $110,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $110,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $110,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $110,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $110,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $110,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $110,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $110,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $110,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $110,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $110,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $110,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $110,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $110,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $110,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $110,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $110,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $110,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $110,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $110,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $110,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-29statusdays on market $110,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $110,000 New 13 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $110,000 New 12 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $110,000 New 11 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $110,000 New 10 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $110,000 New 7 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $110,000 New 6 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $110,000 New 4 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $110,000 New 3 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $110,000 New 2 DOM
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2026-06-15pricestatusdays on market $110,000 New 1 DOM
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2026-05-12status Under Contract 754-char remark
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2026-02-23$140,000 New 754-char remark
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2023-10-25historical $1,000
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2023-10-22$1,000
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2010-03-31historical
-
2009-10-18$39,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,021 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,021 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,012
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,021
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,761
- − Management
- −$1,761
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $7,557
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,814
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This single-family home in Darien, GA, requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value. Painting the exterior and interior, along with landscaping, would significantly enhance its appeal.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Exterior siding — The exterior siding shows signs of wear and tear.
- Moderate Flooring — The flooring in the living area appears worn and may need replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior — Painting will improve the curb appeal and interior aesthetics, making the home more attractive to buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Landscaping will enhance the curb appeal and make the home more inviting for potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mcintosh County
- NCES district ID
- 1303600
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,742
- Composite
- 22.08/100
- National rank
- #8188
- State rank
- #118 of 174 in GA
Livability — Darien
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #397
- US rank
- #19613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Darien, GA
- County
- McIntosh · 12,922 people
- Metro
- Brunswick-St. Simons, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,119
- Household income
- $36,339
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (McIntosh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,922 people
- By 2030
- 12,156 · -5.9%
- By 2040
- 10,332 · -20.0%
- By 2050
- 8,526 · -34.0%
- By 2075
- 5,506 · -57.4%
- By 2100
- 3,635 · -71.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 31% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 6% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 5%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · McIntosh
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.6) · D 35.5% · R 64.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.0pp · 2024: -28.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.6 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.35%
- Current HPI
- 311.3591
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+292.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $110,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-27 Listed $110,000 GIAR
- 2026-05-26 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-05-21 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-05-12 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listed $140,000 GAMLS
- 2023-10-25 Rental Removed $1,000 LISTANZA
- 2023-10-22 Listed for Rent $1,000 LISTANZA
- 2010-03-31 Listing Removed — GIAR
- 2009-10-18 Listed $39,000 GIAR
- 2007-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 2007-04-23 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Hive MLS
- 2006-12-04 Listed $38,000 Hive MLS
- 2004-03-20 Listing Removed — GIAR
- 2003-09-23 Listed $28,000 GIAR
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,021 · -39.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…