2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,650 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Manufactured
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,646/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$357
Tax + insurance
−$113
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$556
Net cashflow
$1,620/mo
Annual
$19,445/yr
Cap rate
34.89%
Cash-on-cash
102.13%
DSCR
5.54
1% rule
3.89%
Cash to close
$19,040
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 53/100 on livability (#927 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: James Madison Elementary (377 students, 85% FRL); Indio Middle (784 students, 89% FRL); Indio High (math 15% / reading 42%, grade F, #774 of 1,170 statewide, top 66%, 2,143 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 56% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Desert Sands Unified average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 601 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
10 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 34.9% vs local median 4.1% in Indio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,646/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 17% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: kitchen countertops
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— standard fixtures
Minor: exterior siding
— some wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-NWES3CFJ9RGC8N
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29