3 bd · 200.0 ba ·
1,778 sqft ·
Built —
· Other
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,715/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$360
Net cashflow
$456/mo
Annual
$5,476/yr
Cap rate
10.51%
Cash-on-cash
15.04%
DSCR
1.67
1% rule
1.32%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/200.0-bath other listed at $130k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $456 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#75 in MA, #4,095 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
Granby (rural): math 21% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #249 of 302 in MA (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: East Meadow (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #757 of 938 statewide, top 82%, 407 students, 0% FRL); East Meadow (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #757 of 938 statewide, top 82%, 407 students, 0% FRL); Granby Jr Sr High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #238 of 343 statewide, top 71%, 311 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 17% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Hampshire County in 2024 (185 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hampshire County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 1.8% in Granby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Large footprint suggests significant structural issues
Major: exterior
— Large footprint suggests significant structural issues
CashFlowRE · CFR-NWJ9A0EQ7TG5QK
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29