3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Manufactured
· Active
· 208 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,040/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$466
Tax + insurance
−$148
HOA
−$750
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$428
Net cashflow
$247/mo
Annual
$2,966/yr
Cap rate
9.63%
Cash-on-cash
11.92%
DSCR
1.53
1% rule
2.29%
Cash to close
$24,892
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $247 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 88/100 on livability (#6 in UT, #242 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Alpine District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #25 of 80 in UT (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Sego Lily School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #75 of 585 statewide, top 14%, 706 students, 19% FRL); Lehi Jr High (math 54% / reading 54%, grade B-, #14 of 138 statewide, top 10%, 995 students, 13% FRL); Lehi High (math 36% / reading 47%, grade F, #57 of 171 statewide, top 34%, 1,982 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 15% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 494 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).
Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NWT4HAEQH5XGWP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29