1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
940 sqft ·
Built 1952
· Condo
· Active
· 246 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,841/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,389
Tax + insurance
−$611
HOA
−$879
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$807
Net cashflow
$156/mo
Annual
$1,869/yr
Cap rate
8.93%
Cash-on-cash
9.42%
DSCR
1.42
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$74,172
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $156 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $265k).
It's been on market 246 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#18 in FL, #426 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Treasure Island Elementary School (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #892 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 399 students, 59% FRL); Miami Beach Nautilus Middle School (math 46% / reading 58%, grade C+, #217 of 571 statewide, top 40%, 918 students, 44% FRL); Miami Beach Senior High School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #386 of 667 statewide, top 59%, 2,175 students, 40% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 23% of rent; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 648 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $265k implies a 409% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,841/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 3521% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 246 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29