1865 79th St Cswy Unit 5A · North Bay Village, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.94%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$264,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
LARGE CONDO WITH BEAUTIFUL BAY VIEWS, NEW A/C , RIGHT OFF 79 ST AND MINS. TO BEACHES! NICE LARGE BALCONY, WOOD FLOORS, WALK IN CLOSET, GRANITE COUNTER TOPS, AND MUCH MORE! BUILDING HAS RESERVES!
Key facts
- Wood floors
- Large balcony
- Bay views
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association pool is heated and association-managed
- Financial info: Pets allowed with size limits (more than 20 lbs allowed)
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association covers HVAC, structure maintenance, parking, reserve fund, roof, sewer, and security; Community amenities include pool (heated), sauna, spa/hot tub, barbecue, picnic area, community kitchen, bike storage, trails, elevator(s), laundry, and trash service
Exterior
- Parking: Guest parking; One assigned space
- Security: Secured lobby; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Electric water heater; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Condo in a 10-story building; Entry on level 5; Unit has attached property; Waterfront with bay-front views; Has a view
- Construction: Block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Balcony; Deck; Open patio/deck; Courtyard; Barbecue; Exterior lighting
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Self-cleaning oven; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Living/dining room; Bedroom on main level
- Laundry & utility: Washer in unit; Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $156 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $265k).
- Recommended offer: $233k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#18 in FL, #426 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 647 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,841/mo this rent would consume 67% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 3521% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 246 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $265k implies a 409% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 23% of rent; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 246 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.42%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-41,950
- Equity at exit
- $39,497
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-58,512
- Equity at exit
- $22,904
Cash invested: $74,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33141
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 647
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,841 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,389
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $884/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$879
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$807
- Net cashflow
- $156
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $306 | -5% $231 | +0% $156 | +5% $81 | +10% $6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-148 | -5% $4 | +0% $156 | +5% $307 | +10% $459 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $289 | -0.5pp $223 | base $156 | +0.5pp $87 | +1.0pp $17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,225
- Closing costs
- $7,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $879 · $10,548/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $264,900 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $264,900 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $264,900 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $264,900 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $264,900 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $264,900 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $264,900 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $264,900 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $264,900 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $264,900 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $264,900 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $264,900 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $264,900 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-05-31pricedays on market $264,900 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $265,000
-
2026-04-15price $267,500
-
2026-04-07price $269,900
-
2026-01-16price $294,000
-
2025-10-18$299,000 Active
-
2023-06-30historical
-
2023-01-29$330,000 Active
-
1996-09-10soldstatus $52,000
-
1996-08-01soldstatus $52,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $884 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,199 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,315/yr (+$110/mo · 148.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 94% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,094
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,839
- − Property taxes
- −$884
- − Insurance
- −$6,443
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,687
- − Management
- −$3,687
- − HOA
- −$10,548
- − Depreciation
- −$7,706
- Taxable loss
- −$1,701
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$408
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,277/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — North Bay Village
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #426
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Bay Village, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,438
- Household income
- $68,738
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3521.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 36% White 20% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 27% Salvadoran 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Armenian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 62% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 18% English-only · Spanish 69% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -472.71%
- Current HPI
- 336.7298
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+409.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $265,000 MARMLS
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $267,500 MARMLS
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $269,900 MARMLS
- 2026-01-16 Price Changed $294,000 MARMLS
- 2025-10-18 Listed $299,000 MARMLS
- 2023-06-30 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2023-01-29 Listed $330,000 MARMLS
- 1996-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 1996-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $884 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…