6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
3,552 sqft ·
Built 1953
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,405/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,486
Tax + insurance
−$294
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$925
Net cashflow
$700/mo
Annual
$8,398/yr
Cap rate
8.06%
Cash-on-cash
6.33%
DSCR
1.28
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$132,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $474k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $700 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $350/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $440k (7.1% below list).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($431k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $431k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#45 in KY, #513 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F.
Southgate Independent (suburban): math 35% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #119 of 173 in KY (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Southgate Public School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #525 of 676 statewide, top 82%, 207 students, 87% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 60% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-23 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Southgate Independent average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 239 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 247 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
8 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $214k; list at $474k implies a 121% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.1% in Southgate — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,405/mo this rent would consume 88% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1136% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29