4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,904 sqft ·
Built 2015
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,600/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$336
Net cashflow
$262/mo
Annual
$3,143/yr
Cap rate
8.46%
Cash-on-cash
7.74%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#68 in WI, #1,833 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Lake Mills Area School District (town): math 38% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #152 of 342 in WI (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lake Mills Elementary (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #433 of 1,041 statewide, top 46%, 610 students, 22% FRL); Lake Mills Middle (math 35% / reading 39%, grade F, #175 of 383 statewide, top 48%, 410 students, 30% FRL); Lake Mills High (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #144 of 483 statewide, top 36%, 488 students, 30% FRL).
Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 145 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 1.9% in Lake Mills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom vanity
— slight wear
Moderate: exterior siding
— moderate wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-NYT4H168B31JN3
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29