4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,053 sqft ·
Built 2025
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 189 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,315/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,783
Tax + insurance
−$567
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$486
Net cashflow
$-521/mo
Annual
$-6,248/yr
Cap rate
4.46%
Cash-on-cash
-6.56%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$95,197
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $340k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-521 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $265k (22.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (31.9% below list).
It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($299k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $232k (31.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#85 in IA, #1,757 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Southeast Polk Community School District (rural): math 73% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #70 of 289 in IA (top 24%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Clay Elementary (math 76% / reading 70%, grade A, #175 of 616 statewide, top 28%, 657 students, 30% FRL); Southeast Polk Junior High (math 74% / reading 71%, grade A, #90 of 246 statewide, top 38%, 1,088 students, 37% FRL); Southeast Polk High School (math 65% / reading 74%, grade B, #152 of 336 statewide, top 52%, 2,353 students, 32% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 310 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.1% in Altoona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NZ0FS5EJ60MPCN
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29