2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
780 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 306 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$839/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$210
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$176
Net cashflow
$386/mo
Annual
$4,637/yr
Cap rate
17.89%
Cash-on-cash
41.40%
DSCR
2.84
1% rule
2.10%
Cash to close
$11,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($839 rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 306 days — a 12% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $35k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($277 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 54/100 on livability (#804 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Everton R-III (rural): math 20% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #459 of 535 in MO (top 86%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Everton Elem. (math 34% / reading 54%, grade F, #413 of 1,115 statewide, top 42%, 87 students, 97% FRL); Everton High (math 15% / reading 44%, grade F, #377 of 521 statewide, top 73%, 85 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 49% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP.
Dade County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 306 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: roof
— Visible damage
CashFlowRE · CFR-NZ11J47ZA2B9SA
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29