3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,740 sqft ·
Built 1964
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 211 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$461
Tax + insurance
−$228
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$410
Net cashflow
$851/mo
Annual
$10,211/yr
Cap rate
18.80%
Cash-on-cash
44.68%
DSCR
2.99
1% rule
2.22%
Cash to close
$24,640
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $851 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $88k).
It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($608 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#346 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
St. Charles Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #14 of 98 in LA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Luling Elementary School (math 27% / reading 29%, grade F, #355 of 646 statewide, top 55%, 734 students, 68% FRL); R.K. Smith Middle School (math 24% / reading 51%, grade F, #75 of 218 statewide, top 35%, 342 students, 67% FRL); Hahnville High School (math 40% / reading 46%, grade F, #66 of 265 statewide, top 25%, 1,491 students, 44% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 74 units permitted in St. Charles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
St. Charles County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $81k (48%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (1.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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