4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,144 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,088/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$401
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$439
Net cashflow
$-219/mo
Annual
$-2,626/yr
Cap rate
5.35%
Cash-on-cash
-3.35%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$78,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-219 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (13.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (25.4% below list).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $209k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#176 in OH, #2,742 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Lake Local (suburban): math 80% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #47 of 656 in OH (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 182 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $145k; list at $280k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.0% in Uniontown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NZAE8Z7AANDKPH
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29