4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,730 sqft ·
Built 1998
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,954/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$394
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$410
Net cashflow
$-51/mo
Annual
$-608/yr
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.95%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-51 ($-608/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $220k (3.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (14.7% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $195k (14.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#100 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Martin Luther King- Jr. Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #996 of 1,228 statewide, top 83%, 578 students, 90% FRL); North Clayton Middle School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #356 of 470 statewide, top 78%, 767 students, 90% FRL); North Clayton High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #336 of 424 statewide, top 80%, 1,206 students, 90% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 655 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
11 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $135k; list at $229k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NZE7E7BJR3M33H
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29