4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,140 sqft ·
Built 1928
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 35 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,629/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$511
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$552
Net cashflow
$260/mo
Annual
$3,117/yr
Cap rate
7.54%
Cash-on-cash
4.47%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $130/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $249k).
It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#924 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, health & safety C-.
Oneida City School District (town): math 43% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #421 of 590 in NY (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.0% in Oneida — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NZES3Z2MEK6WKB
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29