Duplex
310 Cleveland Ave · Oneida, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
2 Family duplexi n a nice Oneida neighborhood. Close to schools, shopping, medical, and area restaurants. Each side has 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. Basement each side. 2 car garage and newly poured concrete patio. Roof is 2 years old and nice yard. One side has a finished attic. One side comes fully applianced and has central air. Rent both sides or live in one side and let the rent pay the mortgage. Asking $249,000.
Key facts
- Finished attic
- Central air
- Oneida neighborhood
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $249k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $260 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $130/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $249k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.0% in Oneida — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#924 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, health & safety C-.
- Oneida City School District (town): math 43% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #421 of 590 in NY (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.47%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,940
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 358 Washington Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 2,296 (+7%) | 8mo | $295,000 | $128 | 68 |
| 362 Washington Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,976 (-8%) | 9mo | $253,000 | $128 | 66 |
| 221 Lenox Ave | 0.35mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,208 (+3%) | 15mo | $154,500 | $70 | 60 |
| 521 Main St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 2,096 (-2%) | 20mo | $186,000 | $89 | 56 |
| 307 Farrier Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 2,020 (-6%) | 23mo | $121,500 | $60 | 53 |
| 109 Furnace Ave | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 2,248 (+5%) | 12mo | $159,650 | $71 | 47 |
| 263 E Walnut St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,944 (-9%) | 15mo | $35,000 | $18 | 37 |
| 228 N Main St | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 | 1,934 (-10%) | 14mo | $95,000 | $49 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-23,706
- Equity at exit
- $37,127
- IRR
- 0.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,062
- Equity at exit
- $21,529
Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13421
- Home prices YoY
- -5.1%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 15.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,629 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax from tax record
- −$408 /mo · $4,891/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$552
- Net cashflow
- $260
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,630 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,315 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,315 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,629 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,250
- Closing costs
- $7,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $249,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $249,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-14$249,000 Active 415-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,891 · $408/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,891 · $408/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,548
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,948
- − Property taxes
- −$4,891
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,524
- − Management
- −$2,524
- − Depreciation
- −$7,244
- Taxable loss
- −$828
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$199
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,316/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oneida City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3600013
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 12.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,791
- Composite
- 41.1/100
- National rank
- #3568
- State rank
- #421 of 590 in NY
Livability — Oneida
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #924
- US rank
- #18033
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oneida, NY
- City population
- 12,742
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,742
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 69,528 people
- By 2030
- 66,599 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 59,814 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 52,842 · -24.0%
- By 2075
- 39,167 · -43.7%
- By 2100
- 28,442 · -59.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 4% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.1) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -13.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.1 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+15.9 2012: D+0.3 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -13.30%
- Current HPI
- 248.3909
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $249,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,891 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…