None bd · None ba ·
24,792 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Townhouse
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,150/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$20,976
Tax + insurance
−$3,497
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$-23,565/mo
Annual
$-282,781/yr
Cap rate
-0.76%
Cash-on-cash
-25.18%
DSCR
-0.12
1% rule
0.03%
Cash to close
$1,120,000
Investor read
This is a townhouse listed at $4.00M. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-24k ($-283k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $122k (97.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (97.1% below list).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($3.76M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (97.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $28k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $120k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in WV, #524 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Mary C. Snow West Side Elementary (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #375 of 377 statewide, top 99%, 353 students, 0% FRL); West Side Middle School (math 7% / reading 18%, grade F, #109 of 109 statewide, top 100%, 377 students, 0% FRL); Capital High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #32 of 110 statewide, top 34%, 1,086 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Kanawha County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
9 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $250k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate -0.8% vs local median 3.8% in Charleston — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 97% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: roof
— No visible damage, but age is implied
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No visible systems, but age is implied
CashFlowRE · CFR-NZHW9NA82DQ1VR
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29