5 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,728 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,543/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$745
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$534
Net cashflow
$-47/mo
Annual
$-565/yr
Cap rate
8.11%
Cash-on-cash
6.51%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-565/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (3.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $242k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 64 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $160k; list at $250k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,543/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 534% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29