3 bd · 3.5 ba ·
1,382 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,926/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,064
Tax + insurance
−$536
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$405
Net cashflow
$-78/mo
Annual
$-938/yr
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.65%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$56,801
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $203k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-78 ($-938/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (6.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (5.0% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $189k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#205 in IA, #3,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Bondurant-Farrar Community School District (rural): math 68% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #89 of 289 in IA (top 31%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
Market conditions: 252 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.1% in Bondurant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P1FASF2SKH9RNA
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29