4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,439 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,322/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,823
Tax + insurance
−$1,195
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,118
Net cashflow
$-814/mo
Annual
$-9,763/yr
Cap rate
5.66%
Cash-on-cash
-2.28%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$204,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $729k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-814 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $585k (19.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $532k (27.0% below list).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($707k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $532k (27.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $78k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $73k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#76 in NY, #1,189 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Lawrence Union Free School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #399 of 590 in NY (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $415k; list at $729k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$125k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.4% in Woodmere — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P2FQSF9H175EDR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29