2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,032 sqft ·
Built 1964
· Other
· Active
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,842/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$781
Tax + insurance
−$132
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$387
Net cashflow
$542/mo
Annual
$6,507/yr
Cap rate
10.66%
Cash-on-cash
15.60%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.24%
Cash to close
$41,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $149k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $542 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#314 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
Garrard County (rural): math 28% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #63 of 165 in KY (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lancaster Elementary School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #255 of 676 statewide, top 42%, 469 students, 80% FRL); Garrard County High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 801 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 50% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P3B435684FSMHR
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29