2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,144 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,151/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,463
Tax + insurance
−$507
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$662
Net cashflow
$519/mo
Annual
$6,227/yr
Cap rate
8.52%
Cash-on-cash
7.97%
DSCR
1.35
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$78,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $279k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $519 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $279k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($275k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $275k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Stamford Central School District (rural): math 40% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #675 of 755 in NY (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Schoharie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Schoharie County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $20k; list at $279k implies a 1295% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P5CGP6EX1GP9XY
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29