3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
780 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Manufactured
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$838/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$52
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$176
Net cashflow
$217/mo
Annual
$2,606/yr
Cap rate
9.77%
Cash-on-cash
12.41%
DSCR
1.55
1% rule
1.12%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($838 rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#682 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
West St. Francois County R-IV (rural): math 35% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #165 of 324 in MO (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: West County Elem. (math 25% / reading 40%, grade F, #751 of 1,115 statewide, top 68%, 414 students, 62% FRL); West County High (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #124 of 521 statewide, top 28%, 299 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in St. Francois County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-P672NG1Y4P3ZXP
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29