3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,160 sqft ·
Built 1982
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 168 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,182/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,229
Tax + insurance
−$539
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$878
Net cashflow
$536/mo
Annual
$6,436/yr
Cap rate
7.81%
Cash-on-cash
5.41%
DSCR
1.24
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$119,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $425k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $536 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $268/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $418k (1.6% below list).
It's been on market 168 days — a 12% lower offer ($374k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $374k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#178 in TX, #4,673 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Cedar Hill ISD (suburban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #643 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Cedar Hill Collegiate Prep (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #1,006 of 4,322 statewide, top 25%, 495 students, 49% FRL); W S Permenter Middle (math 14% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 626 students, 83% FRL); Cedar Hill H S (math 13% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,234 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 2,197 students, 68% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 419 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.4% in Cedar Hill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,182/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($103k/yr) (locally 1570% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 168 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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